Poll: Trump holds 56% to 42% advantage over Biden in Tennessee

Campaign signs outside an early voting location in Nashville on Oct. 21, 2020. (Erik Schelzig, Tennessee Journal)

Republican President Donald Trump leads Democrat Joe Biden by 14 percentage points, according to a new SurveyMonkey-Tableau 2020 poll.

The online poll of 4,642 likely voters had Trump with 56% and Biden with 42%. Trump won Tennessee 61% to 35% against Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Among men, 65% preferred Trump, while 34% backed Biden. Women were split 49% to 49% between the two candidates.

Biden was ahead in Tennessee among younger voters (65% of those 24 or younger and 55% of those between 25 and 34), but Trump held a wide advatage among older voters (62% of those between 45 and 64).

Trump led by a margin of 70% to 29% in rural areas, though that advantage dropped to 53% to 45% in the suburbs. Biden led 60% to 37% in urban areas.

The poll is co-sponsored by the political news site Axios. But polling site FiveThirtyEight.com doesn’t hold the survey in particularly high regard, giving it a D-minus rating.

11 Responses to Poll: Trump holds 56% to 42% advantage over Biden in Tennessee

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    LeeAnn C. says:

    I’m so puzzled about the choice of publishing this poll. If your conclusion is that this survey “is not held in high regard”, why bother? I think Trump is going to win by a greater margin than in 2016. One person’s opinion, – but apparently as worthy as the Survey Monkey!

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    Not that Stuart guy says:

    A fairly useless poll if 538’s usually impeccable pronouncements hold true, but the suburban numbers are still interesting. The rapidly growing and changing bedroom communities around Davidson are where the action is. There are places now where a Democrat can run competitively and in a cycle or two perhaps even win.
    As for Trump, he’ll lose nationally, but win comfortably in TN. As states like GA and TX move into serious play, we’ll hold out longer before being dragged kicking and screaming into the mainstream.

    The saddest part of the data to me is the rural vote. Trump has done nothing but damage to rural America, with promises unfulfilled and of course his morality and values are nothing like those of rural Tennesseans.

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      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      “. . . dragged kicking and screaming into the mainstream” of politics in a country that just about every poll shows that two-thirds to three-quarters of respondents think is on the Wrong Track. Something to look forward to indeed. I know, I know NtSg, as we move along toward that leftist utopia that’s just around a corner that zealots have been predicting since the mid-nineteenth century things will be so much better.

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    Helen Knox says:

    Tennessee deserves better than 4 more years of lies, deceit and mismanagement under Trump!

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    steve cates says:

    Our rural area Tennesseans are prone to vote against their own best interests and have for many decades of my life. I remember when statesmen like Ned R. McWherter and John Bragg tried to have a discussion about the value of a state income tax. Those most against it were folks in rural areas who, with the exemptions that were a part of a plan proposed at that time, would probably have paid ZERO and yet, at the same time, the tax on food would have been lowered or eliminated.

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      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      Those crazy rural folks. Having an aversion to having their lives tormented by control freaks in charge of the government. Actually choosing to live free rather than being wards of the state. Crazy!

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        Bill says:

        Yeah, I’ll bet they could do a swell job building their own roads, paying for their schools, police and fire departments, and health services without any state or fed help, too. Why don’t they just secede and start taking charge of their own economies, too?

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    Taxpayer #314 says:

    The rest of the country is turning their expectations towards less lies and a little more compassion in our government leaders. Tennessee has rather low expectations when it comes to politicians, just look at the current crowd in Nashville or our senators. The republican stranglehold on politics in TN and a few other places in the country (like TX) is due in part to corrupt voter suppression and assorted dirty tricks the GOP loves. The dismantling of the Post Office as a weapon in this years election is a new and particular nasty (and costly) tactic.

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    Taxpayer #314 says:

    Ask the Postmaster General?

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    Eddie White says:

    This election is over. It is not going to be that close. Biden will be the next president. You lefties and Trump whiners and media are going to get what you want. Move on.

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