Poll finds GOP voters happy with GOP in Tenn.

Gov. Bill Lee speaks to reporters after a bill signing ceremony in Nashville on May 24, 2021. (Erik Schelzig, Tennessee Journal)

A new poll finds Republican primary voters are largely pleased with GOP politicians and policies in Tennessee.

The survey was conducted by ARW Strategies, which is run by Andrew Weissert, who previously ran We Ask America, a pollster that received a B-minus rating from FiveThirtyEight.com.

Here’s the release:

Tennessee Statewide Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters

ARW Strategies, a national polling firm, today released a statewide public opinion poll of likely Republican primary voters in Tennessee. The poll took the pulse on Republican voters’ opinions about party leaders, Governor Lee’s job performance, and recent legislation signed into law by the governor.

While the Republican Party in Tennessee remains dominated by former President Donald Trump, Republicans are also nearly as enthusiastic about their governor, Bill Lee. From his handling of the pandemic to recent legislation signed into law, Lee’s support among his base looks impenetrable heading into his re-election next year.

ARW Strategies was founded by Andrew Weissert, former Chief Pollster for We Ask America. His work has been featured and covered by national publications like The New Yorker, Forbes, Politico, The Hill, National Review, Newsweek, and numerous local news organizations. This poll was not commissioned or paid for by any candidate or committee. ARW Strategies conducted this poll from its own resources to discover the current state of opinion among GOP Primary Voters in Tennessee

Key Takeaways
Donald Trump remains the face of the Republican Party. A massive 90% of likely Republican primary voters have a favorable opinion of the former president, with nearly three-quarters (72%) having a very favorable opinion of him. Just 10% say they view Trump unfavorably. Additionally, of those surveyed, 75% consider themselves to be Trump/America First Republicans, while just a quarter consider themselves to be some other form of Republican – traditional, social conservative, Tea Party, Libertarian.

Republican voters overwhelmingly like Governor Bill Lee and approve of the job he’s doing. 85% of Republican primary voters have a favorable opinion of Lee, while 86% approve of the job he’s done as governor. Just 14% disapprove of his job performance and only 11% view him unfavorably. 88% of self-identifying Trump/America First Republicans approve of Lee’s job performance, with just 9% disapproving.

Governor Lee’s strong image and job performance can be directly traced to his record and recent legislation. Republicans are highly supportive of Governor Lee’s recent actions, with 83% approving of his handling of the pandemic. 86% are more likely to vote for his re-election for the recent transgender athlete bill he signed into law. 82% are more likely to vote for his re-election for the law he signed allowing Tennesseans to carry firearms without a permit, and 81% support his school choice scholarship program.

Senators Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty also enjoy exceptional images with Republican voters. For Senator Blackburn, 79% of Republicans view her favorably, while 17% have an unfavorable opinion of her. 78% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Senator Hagerty, with just 12% having an unfavorable one. Among those who call themselves Trump/America First Republicans, Senators Blackburn and Hagerty are even more popular where their images are 84% Fav/12% Unfav and 82% Fav/9% Unfav respectively.

Republicans want heavy emphasis on crime, illegal immigration and election integrity. The number one issue that Republican primary voters want the party to focus on heading into 2022, at 28%, is stopping crime and supporting law enforcement. In second, chosen by 23% of voters, is fighting illegal immigration and opposing sanctuary cities. In third, with 19%, is ensuring election integrity and preventing voter fraud.

Methodology
This poll was conducted between June 26th and 27th, 2021. In all, 600 interviews were achieved among likely 2022 Republican Primary voters in Tennessee. 324 of these responses came from cell phones. The Margin of Error for this survey is +/- 4% at a Confidence Interval of 95%.

66 Responses to Poll finds GOP voters happy with GOP in Tenn.

  • Avatar
    Gwendolyn BLACKMAN says:

    Four million plus registered voters in the state and 600 people interviewed is considered an acceptable representative sampling?

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      James White says:

      The poll just shows that 79% of the GOP voters do not know what is going on.
      #MarshaBlackburnTheTyrant
      #LeeTheTyrant

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        Taxpayer #314 says:

        So, some polling outfit with a B-minus grade says the GOP is happy with the GOP in TN. Now that is a solid announcement.

    • Avatar
      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      What a beautiful name “Gwendolyn.” Almost makes me wish I had a daughter just so I could name her “Gwendolyn.” Not enough “Gwendolyns” in this world I say.

  • Pingback: Poll finds GOP voters happy with GOP in Tenn. – TNJ – TN Journal – Libertarian Guide

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    LeeAnn C says:

    As a Republican, i am pleased with the General Assembly. I am deeply troubled by Governor Lee’s willingness to shut down independent small businesses while leaving large chain businesses open. I’m also appalled that he doesn’t listen to district attorneys when drafting criminal justice reform. He’ll still win in 2022, but I hope the General Assembly will step up to challenge his personal agenda.

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      Cryan says:

      Why are you rolling over for this? Bill Lee’s Labor Department Offering English Literacy, Civics Education Grant for Illegal Immigrants. Tennessee ⭐

      https://tennesseestar.com/2021/06/29/tennessee-labor-department-offering-english-literacy-civics-education-grant-for-hamilton-county-immigrants-no-proof-of-legal-status-required/

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        MARLE says:

        Since Marsha ran and WON on a platform of not sending illegal immigrants back (exception: violent criminals and felons) shouldn’t we want them to become literate so we can stop paying for their translators and/or giving hiring advantage to legal citizens who are Bi-lingual.

        The biggest financial benefit to legal bi-lingual Hispanics in hiring and promotion has been the deluge of language challenged illiterates. Their fortunes have improved remarkably since the demand for Spanish-speaking employees has skyrocketed.

        They should write a personal thank you note to Marsha.

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        LeeAnn C says:

        What are you doing, Cryan? About anything? Made any progress?

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          Cryan says:

          It wasn’t an attack; it’s a serious question. Why do you just accept Bill Lee will win the primary? The attack ads haven’t even started yet.

          The lockdown, vaccinating children without parental consent, taxpayer money for illegals, the multimillion dollar contract for sock masks, the FBI investigation, etc. That’s all Bill Lee. If you and Stuart and correct and nobody challenges RINO Lee, then the Tennessee Republican Party is the laziest organization I’ve ever seen.

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            LeeAnn C says:

            I misunderstood. I don’t support Bill Lee for anything and didn’t support his 2018 run. I didn’t trust his experience level or vague stances. I still don’t and know of some very “not nice guy” tactics he has used to advance his agenda. My statement was a prediction of the future race. I haven’t heard of any serious challengers and doubt any will have sufficient resources to win the primary over the incumbent. An unsuccessful challenger in the primary will unfortunately brand themselves as a loser, so any serious gubernatorial contenders will wait for 2026. I don’t like it one bit, but that’s my prediction.

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            Taxpayer #314 says:

            If the people in TN wake up and realize what is going on in the back rooms in Nashville, they will be voted out in the next election. Make sure your registration is in good order and get out and vote.

  • Avatar
    Misty Pardner says:

    I hear Holt Whitt is giving Lee a 120000% approval rating.

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    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    Indeed! Despite leftists on this forum’s clumsily transparent attempt to stir up dissension in the ranks of Tennessee Republicans as we head into the 2022 elections, in point of fact it will be just as I have been predicting, Lee will cruise to re-election so 2022 will be a quiet election year in Tennessee so conservatives can turn their attention elsewhere. After making sure the great Brian Kelsey (ACU-87%) has the funds he needs to be re-elected we can turn our attention to Alabama, North Carolina, Ohio and hopefully Missouri and the 3 1/2 Lamars Retirement Project.

    Of course, if uber ambitious Andy Ogles wants his political career to be derailed he can always launch a Kamikaze attack on Lee in 2022 and make a pest out of himself. Indeed, so much the better for those of us looking forward to Marvelous Mark Green (Heritage-98%) being elected governor in 2026.

    • Avatar
      MARLE says:

      Are the “leftist…on this forum” telling the truth or are they lying?

    • Avatar
      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      They are often profane, vulgar, misinformed, intolerant, childish, etc., etc. but I believe “lying” requires that one state a falsehood knowing it to be false. If so, I can’t possibly know so I wouldn’t accuse complete strangers of “lying.”

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        MARLE says:

        Talk about micro-analyzing! Are the things they are saying UNTRUE? So if I say the earth is flat but I believe it I am not lying? Really? Is that the standard they use in, let’s say, a deposition or a court of law?

        So….is what they are saying Not True? The issue here is that often you place Republican solidarity way ahead of speaking the truth, as supported by facts, virtually all the time.

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          MARLE says:

          We need a new Beatitude:

          Blessed are the ignorant and feeble minded for they shall never be accused of lying.

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          D. J. Ernest says:

          If people who say false things are liars regardless of whether they know those things to be false or not, then DJT is the biggest liar to walk the face of the earth.

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        Stuart I. Anderson says:

        You can say something that is “untrue” (i.e. “not according with the facts, false”) without “lying” (i.e. “an untruth deliberately told. . .intentional misstatement” as per my copy of Black’s Law Dictionary). To lie therefore requires a certain state of mind and only Taxpayer on this forum can read minds.

        I place Republican solidarity when it does not involve capitulation to the destructive forces of the left as one of my very highest goals without which it will be impossible to win elections which is, after all, why we play the game. To conjure up intra-Republican ruction over personality and other peripheral matters brings a smile to those on the left, and indeed they would love to do what they can to create and encourage intra-Republican ruction, but when leftists are smiling you just know that our speed on the “wrong track” is accelerating.

        • Avatar
          MARLE says:

          Again…..talk about that Micro analyzing that you so often criticize. Yikes. The Leftist on here, if what they are saying is Factually Accurate, are an annoyance to You if they upset Republican solidarity and favorable sentiment for the pols you support.

          The FACTS should never be a problem to truthseekers. It is Always a problem for the Trump wing of the party, yourself included.

      • Avatar
        Stuart I. Anderson says:

        I agree that whatever defect in personality and/or environment causes one to be a leftist, they will always be with us and as an almost free speech absolutist I believe they have every right to spew their nonsense on this or any other forum. They don’t annoy me, indeed when they make an interesting point in a civil manner I obviously enjoy engaging with them as I do so frequently on this forum. Unfortunately, in a democracy it’s not the side that amasses the most facts to support their position that wins. Rather it’s the side that gets the most votes and that is the mission I have assigned myself, to get the most votes I can to move the Republican Party RIGHTWARD, RIGHTWARD, RESOLUTELY RIGHTWARD.

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        Taxpayer #314 says:

        He said looking in the mirror.

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    MARLE says:

    Illegal Immigration and its costs (social, financial, legal etc) is an enormous issue.

    Having one of our 2 senators calling for the deportation of only felon illegals is NOT moving anything Rightward. Throw your money away on these feckless politicians if you have no better place to waste it but don’t delude yourself or try to fool others about the outcome you’ve achieved so far.

  • Avatar
    Jason Wallflower says:

    Is the TN Journal going to have anything to say about the Lee admin hiring someone that could still be under investigation with the FBI?

    Seems like a really big misstep on the part of the Lee admin.

    • Avatar
      Misty Pardner says:

      Seriously, how does a person on administrative leave resign in one department to accept another job with the state? That would not happen in the private sector. This apparently was all lined up to keep a now witness, according to the Federal DOJ, employed. And quiet. Also, where is the Beacon Center on all of this cronyism? Whitt, Carr, Beavers, Rogers, Goins, Dunn, DeBerry, Holt. Shall I continue?

  • Avatar
    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    ______________________________________________________
    Terrible news was announced tonight on “Tucker Carlson Tonight” (FOX News 7 PM/12 AM). J.D. Vance is running for U.S. Senate to replace the awful Rob Portman (Heritage-60%). J.D. is a well educated author who frequently appears on FOX sounding like a solid conservative but, of course, he is an Anemic Record Candidate who is running for a very high office. Worse still, he is running in a primary that already has solid conservative former Treasurer of Ohio for eight years Josh Mandel during which Josh established a record as an outspoken conservative. Thus we now have two major candidates who will direct appeal to conservative Republicans thus splitting the conservative votes making way for yet another awful Republican senator from Ohio. This is not a good day for the 3 1/2 Lamar Retirement Project.

    • Avatar
      MARLE says:

      Mandel is an anti-vaxxer pushing wild conspiracy theories ala the “pillow man” and is full throated on the Stolen Election. Pence is a coward who didn’t do his job on Jan 6.

      And this is your dream candidate that you are financially supporting???? I thought you believed that the Trump jerk should have been purged from the party domination. Supporting this fellow nut-job traveler is hardly moving Rightward. It is moving the country back to the defeated Trump Era where the House Senate and WH were lost in a single term.

    • Avatar
      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      First of all, the SIAECPCF is nowhere near to making grants in-aid to needy conservative candidates. It’s mid-2021 and we are in the exploratory phase of this two year process.

      What you say is fascinating and I appreciate your input because I am unfamiliar with Josh other than the fact that he received the Republican nomination once before and ran a good race against Sherrod Brown (Heritage-3%). Josh has received the endorsement from the Club For Growth, a VERY serious unsmiling organization, that simply doesn’t support wackos. I fully expect J.D. to be a full throated Trump enthusiast as well.

      I’m afraid Republican candidates are going to have to pay more lip service to Trump’s claims than either of us would prefer given how wedded the Trumpidians are to those claims and how many Trumpidians will vote in the various Republican primaries. I fully expect Mo Brooks (89%), for example, in Alabama’s Republican primary for the senate race to do the same. That’s where the center of gravity is in Republican primaries and we simply have to accept it in order to move the Republican party RIGHTWARD.

      • Avatar
        Cryan says:

        Move the party rightward by bending over for Donald Trump, a registered Democrat until 2015? It’s not just JD Vance you have to accept; Trump announced Herschel Walker is the only approved no-record celebrity candidate to vote for Senate in Georgia. I guess Doug Collins didn’t do enough to accept the “center of gravity of the party” or as I like to call it, the seat of Trump’s golf pants.

        • Avatar
          MARLE says:

          JD is, among this crowded Ohio field, The most outspoken critic of Trump. He has called him out many times. But he is not a Trump water-carrier.

          All of them want Trump’s endorsement and all ( of the front runners) have traveled to Mar Lago.

          But Trump has to be a bit careful to chose winners to endorse so as to put jewels in his 2024 Power-Crown.

          The Ohio thing is interesting.

      • Avatar
        Taxpayer #314 says:

        SIAECPCF is a long drawn out set of rather boring initials so I looked it up on the internet. It said SIAECPCF stands for Stuart Is Always Espousing Crap, Particularly Creating “Facts.”

    • Avatar
      James White says:

      Tucker works for the Deep State (FOX News). His mission is to make you think you are going in the Right direction, but he will steer you wrong.

      • Avatar
        Stuart I. Anderson says:

        Well James, you may not have FOX News to kick around much longer after 90 year old Rupert Murdoch dies. Apparently Rupert has been so busy marrying and divorcing three women (he’s on his fourth) that he has neglected raising his six children with the proper ideological grounding. Of the six only Lachlan is a conservative so instead of disinheriting the rest, majority control of FOX will apparently pass to his leftist children after Rupert’s death. It will be interesting to see how much the network changes as the kids try to balance their ideological predilections with the conservative audience that FOX has so successfully acquired over the years.

        • Avatar
          MARLE says:

          Just fyi the conservative Talk radio show in Nashville was owned for decades by a pair of Atlanta brothers who were very Liberal. Money is the driver for many investors, not ideology. It’s their version of the ole Green Deal.

          • Avatar
            Cryan says:

            Yeah, I doubt Fox will change unless they no longer want those checks from EZ-Glide Catheter commercials. Rupert Murdoch isn’t a conservative either. Fox News is a business.

        • Avatar
          Taxpayer #314 says:

          Fox Network has never been considered a legitimate business by any actual newshound. It has always been a joke of a network and changing hands in ownership wont make that much difference – they have a trashy reputation to uphold.

    • Avatar
      James White says:

      “Thus we now have two major candidates who will direct appeal to conservative Republicans thus splitting the conservative votes making way for yet another awful Republican senator from Ohio. ”
      That reminds me how they did the very same thing to split the vote for Taft for President.
      The Deep State will stop all real conservative constitutionalists, because the voters do not pay attention to the facts, just the appearance of the what they are told.

      • Avatar
        Cryan says:

        JD Vance isn’t a constitutional conservative. He’s just playing one, and Tucker is doing everything he can to make it true in Fox viewers’ minds. Vance was a Democrat until opportunity presented itself, you know, kind of like Trump.

        • Avatar
          MARLE says:

          A political opportunist who’d do or say anything to get elected, then re-elected???? Well, that gets the Stuart stamp of approval right from the jump. Nothing wrong with that. And if Fox is mind melding its viewers well “congratulations”. It has been a working and profitable format for years and Tucker with his boyish grin-to-scowl repertoire is some folk’s primo delivery boy.

          • Avatar
            Stuart I. Anderson says:

            Why would you say something silly like that MARLE when you know how I have long advocated ignoring what politicians say, especially when running for office, but rather focus on what politicians do by examining their record most especially in the form of their Heritage, American Conservative Union, and Club For Growth scores. When we are dealing with someone who hasn’t held legislative office I look to their political activism and contributions to conservative candidates and causes. “Walk the walk as well as talk the talk” modestly using myself as a prime example of the behavior that I am seeking.

        • Avatar
          Stuart I. Anderson says:

          Actually MARLE what gets Stuart’s stamp of approval as I pursue the 3 1/2 Lamars Retirement Project is nominating U.S. senate candidates who will be a definitively more conservative than the “Lamars” who currently occupy the office. I have little doubt that J.D. will easily fit-the-bill insofar as we are talking Portman (60%) here. While I prefer Josh given my feelings about No/Anemic Record Candidates running for some of the highest offices in the land, if J.D. wins I will be happy and call it a Project victory. My only concern here, of course, is the balkanization of the conservative vote in the Republican primary leading to a Portman sequel.

          • Avatar
            Cryan says:

            So you finally admit you care more about personality than ideology. Makes sense coming from a Tucker lover. JD Vance isn’t a conservative. He just says what you want to hear about CRT and Happy Holidays. If Trump hadn’t made Heritage Foundation irrelevant in the Republican Party to everyone except you, then Vance would be well under 60% – like GQP Leader Elise Stefanik.

            You still going to follow Trump blindly when he challenges Kevin McCarthy for Speaker of the House?

            https://www.foxnews.com/politics/donald-trump-speaker-of-the-house-chances

          • Avatar
            MARLE says:

            Depends on what Tucker tells him to do. He’ll have to await instructions. Strap on the tin foil hat for best reception.

          • Avatar
            Stuart I. Anderson says:

            It’s more like Josh chooses to look like a normal well-balanced individual like myself whereas J.D. chooses to disfigure himself with facial hair.

  • Avatar
    Taxpayer #314 says:

    Stuart’s self-grading is always outstanding but just as useless as the rest of those imaginary and meaningless scores. What an ego!

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    Taxpayer #314 says:

    After the republican appointed majority of judges on the Supreme Court gutted the attempt to overturn the Voters Rights Bills in AZ, the state of Georgia wasted no time in removing over 100,000 names of voters registered in the state. How many names of white people do you think were cut in that group? This is how the GOP plays politics. Cutthroat. This is disgusting.

    • Avatar
      Stuart I. Anderson says:

      Probably quite a few if they were dead or hadn’t voted for a long time and couldn’t be located or were registered in more than one place because they moved. . . . That’s “VOTER SUPRESSION” in leftistland. Lord, protect us from wandering into leftistland.

      • Avatar
        Taxpayer #314 says:

        Stuart knows how to pull out the lies when needed. Whenever the republicans can NOT defend their position, they turn to just outright lies like the one above. Everything the republicans are doing in the 50 states where these type of “Voter Restriction Laws” were hurriedly passed is flat out nothing but an attempt at Voter Suppression, and they know it. This is just one more way the republicans play dirty politics and will try to stack the deck in their favor. Don’t let them silence your voice.
        Get out and vote!

  • Avatar
    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    I understand that J.D. Vance didn’t vote for Trump in 2016, rather he voted for something called Evan McMillan who was a “Never Trump” independent candidate for President. He didn’t do that in Tennessee, rather he did that in swing state Ohio. A very bad decision as far as I’m concerned and one that doesn’t instill confidence that this Anemic Record candidate can be relied on to vote conservative when the “ayes and nays” are called for in the U.S. Senate. J.D. will get killed on the campaign trail unless Trump actually endorses him and even that may not help. No, I’ll stick with supporting Josh Mandel as the Ohio candidate of the 3 1/2 Lamars Retirement Project.

    Keep your eye on Iowa folks. There is reason to hope Chuck Grassley (Heritage-73%) who will celebrate his 89th birthday two months before election day in 2022 won’t have the nerve to run for his 8th term. That will be another tepid conservative Republican to retire but can Iowa elect a solid conservative? Joni Ernst (Heritage-74%), Iowa’s other senator doesn’t instill confidence Iowa is doable for the good guys but we’ll see.

  • Avatar
    Taxpayer #314 says:

    Grassley should retire – should have done so a decade ago, he reminds me of ole Strom Thurmond barley able to walk or talk. When I met him back in 1969, he had an aide on each side propping him up so he could talk to me. Republican senators tend to serve until death with no comprehensive abilities to even consider any bills introduced in Congress. It was pitiful to see.

  • Avatar
    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    The first split between conservatives and Trump may be brewing in Ohio. Rumor has it that Trump is ready to endorse Jane Timken for senate in the Ohio Republican Primary but was talked out of it by aides who asked him to wait and see if she has a good chance to win before investing his prestige in her. Other than being a Trumpidian and loaded thanks to her marriage into the Timken family, she is very much an establishment Republican as a former chairman of the Ohio Republican Party. Conservatives, of course, are backing Josh Mandel and probably some will go to J.D. Vance.

  • Avatar
    Taxpayer #314 says:

    Conservatives, of course, are backing “anyone who can control the laws enough to assure them a win” in their particular state. And if that fails, they want to be able to pick a secrete jury for any recount. It is dirty politics and no one should put up with the “rigged rules” that will be in place in Georgia and many other places unless things change. This election could be even worse than the Big Lie from the trumpster. I am so glad to see the courts finally getting around to investigating the Trump organization and family. They all are running scared and rightfully so. The US Democracy might just survive after all this republican garbage and lies. Make sure that you vote. And make sure that EVERY vote is indeed counted correctly. Why do you think the republicans don’t want your vote to count?

  • Avatar
    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    Here’s perhaps a good omen of things to come. Trump just held a rally in Wellington Ohio and during his time on stage he conducted a poll of the crowd through their cheers as to which of the Senate candidates in the upcoming Republican primary the crowd favors. When he called out Jane Timken’s name the crowd actually booed!!! Trump obviously didn’t like that reaction but it seems that luck would have it Timken and her husband have a close relationship with none other than Ohio Congressman Anthony Gonzalez (Heritage-85%) who voted for Trump’s impeachment. Better still for those who don’t want Timken to receive Trump’s endorsement Jane even expressed understanding of why Gonzalez voted that way.

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