Internal poll finds Alexander with 65% approval rating among Republicans

As U.S. Sen. Lamar Alexander mulls whether to run for another term, his pollster has found that the incumbent is “in a strong position” to win the Republican nomination if he runs again. According to the internal poll memo obtained by The Tennessee Journal, Alexander has a favorability rating of 65% among Republican primary voters, compared with just 22% who view him unfavorably.

Alexander’s job performance was rated at 64%-27% among “very conservative” Republicans in the poll, while it was 73%-18% among somewhat and moderate Republicans.

Alexander has said he will decide before the end of the year whether to run again.

The survey of 600 likely Republican voters was conducted Nov. 26 through Nov. 29. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Here’s the full memo:

To:         Steve Smith, Treasurer, Alexander for Senate 2020

From:    Whit Ayres, President, North Star Opinion Research

Date:      December 10, 2018

Re:         Senator Alexander’s Ratings Among Tennessee’s Republican Voters

Our firm conducted a survey of 600 likely 2020 Republican primary voters in Tennessee November 26-29, 2018, with a margin of error of ±4.00 percent.  The results show that Senator Alexander remains very popular in the Tennessee Republican electorate.  The key findings are:

  • Two-thirds of Tennessee’s Republican primary voters rate Senator Alexander favorably.  His favorable-to-unfavorable rating is 65 to 22 percent among all Republican primary voters.
  • More than two-thirds of Tennessee’s Republican primary voters approve of Lamar Alexander’s job performance as Senator.  Sixty-nine percent of Republican primary voters approve of his job performance, and 23 percent disapprove.
  • Approval of Lamar Alexander’s job performance as Senator extends across all ideological groups and all three Grand Divisions.  His job performance is 64 to 27 percent support among very conservative Republicans, and 73 to 18 percent among both somewhat conservative and moderate Republicans.  His job performance is 67 to 24 percent support in the west, 65 to 25 percent in the middle, and 72 to 18 percent in the east.

Senator Alexander is in a strong position to win the Republican nomination for Senate should he decide to run again in 2020.  He is very likely to win the general election as well given the strong Republican leanings of the state and his general election performance in the past.  In 2014 his winning percentage was 62 percent, and in 2008 it was 65 percent when he received 1,571,637 votes, the most for any candidate in a statewide election in Tennessee history.

10 Responses to Internal poll finds Alexander with 65% approval rating among Republicans

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    Silence Dogood says:

    My polling firm says no he should not run. He enjoy almost zero % of my Conservative support.

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    James White says:

    This doesn’t surprise me. TN Republicans are not Conservative/Constitutionalists. They Are for More Government, More Spending and More Wars. Senator Alexander is one of 12 Senators that send President Trump a memo to submit the USMCA as soon as possible (dated Nov.30, 2018). He wants to have the USMCA passed. President Trump has not read the 1,800 pages, or he would see that it is WORSE than NAFTA. USMCA has: Strikingly similar to the sovereignty-destroying TPP; Further integration and leveling of Mexican, Canadian and U.S. economies; Supranational bureaucracy of unelected tribunals, commissions, and committees; “Aggressive enforcement” of labor, environmental, and LGBTQ regulations; The next globalist step toward an EU-style North American Union…
    And “Conservatives” of the TN GOP want that?

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    Stuart I. Anderson says:

    Lamar Alexander has a wretched lifetime Heritage Action score of 48% which means he spends more than half of his time voting with liberals. Sorry, I simply refuse to believe that 64% of Tennesseans who identify themselves as not only conservative, but “very conservative,” think that a senator who has a voting record like that should receive a favorable evaluation.

    Please remember that four years ago when Joe Carr pointed out what Lamar was actually doing in the Senate during his underfinanced campaign he came within less than 10% of beating him while carrying just about every Middle Tennessee county. If conservatives will simply save their money hopefully we can take another step in the rightward march of the Tennessee Republican Party by replacing Lamar in 2020.

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    Tim Skow says:

    Key RULE of politics proven yet again in 2014 TN Senate primary –
    You cannot beat ”a somebody” with ”a nobody”.

    UNLESS…. those whining about the incumbent are prepared to recruit a 1st tier candidate, fund a 1st tier candidate, build a 1st tier volunteer team and execute a 1st tier campaign to take on the inherent advantages of incumbent’s campaign THEN… expect to remain nothing more than 1st tier WHINERS.

    The clock for August 2020 primary is already ticking

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