Here’s a look at the partisan breakdown of Tennessee’s new congressional districts

It all fits together somehow.

Tennessee voters in the 2020 presidential election preferred Republican Donald Trump by double digits in eight of the state’s nine congressional districts under the new maps recently signed into law.

The 2018 U.S. Senate race results are somewhat more encouraging for the minority party, as Democrat Phil Bredesen and Republican Marsha Blackburn were essentially tied in what is now the 5th District, while the GOP candidate won the 7th district by just over 1 point. But that was a somewhat unique race featuring a popular former governor and a divisive Republican congresswoman. The same year’s governor’s race may prove to be more of a guide for future performance, as Republican Bill Lee beat Democrat Karl Dean by 11 points in both the 5th and 7th Districts.

Here is a look at the Republican advantage in the newly drawn districts over four recent statewide races:

District2016 President2018 Governor2018 Senate2020 President
1st+57+53+43+54
2nd+35+28+15+30
3rd+35+29+19+32
4th+42+33+24+38
5th+17+110+12
6th+32+20+11+30
7th+17+11+1+15
8th+39+37+28+37
9th-47-44-52-48