Poll finds Bredesen with 30 percent support among likely GOP voters in Blackburn’s home area

A poll of likely Republican voters in state House District 61, which includes the Brentwood home of U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, indicates 30 percent support Democrat Phil Bredesen over Blackburn in the U.S. Senate race, according to  Tennessee Star. Blackburn had 61 percent support with the rest undecided.

The right-wing website, which has frequently posted articles critical of Bredesen and supportive of Blackburn, says the poll of 361 GOP voters was conducted June 18-22 by Triton Polling. It doesn’t say who sponsored the poll, but presumably, it was conducted for one of the six candidates seeking the Republican nomination in the district, where Rep. Charles Sargent of Franklin is retiring.

In the GOP primary race for Governor, the poll showed Williamson County native Bill Lee leading the field with 32.4% of the vote, followed by Diane Black with 21.3%, Randy Boyd with 16.1%, Beth Harwell with 14.9% and 15.4% undecided.

… In the House primary race to fill the vacancy created by Rep. Charles Sargent’s retirement, (Brandon) Ogles has the support of 24.3% of likely GOP primary voters, followed by: Gino Bulso 13.9%, Rebecca Burke 9.4%, Jeff Ford 6.8%, Bobby Hullett 6.5%, Terrence Smith, 2.2% and the remaining 36.8% undecided.

… In what may be the most surprising information contained in the poll data, Republican Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn leads former Tennessee Governor and Democrat Phil Bredesen by a 61.3% to 30.1% margin, with only 8.6% undecided, in the race for the U.S. Senate. Blackburn has long represented Williamson County in the Tennessee State Senate and Congress, and resides in the 61st District herself.

One political observer noted that Blackburn is falling about 7 points short of the approval rating for President Donald Trump among Republicans in the Brentwood-Franklin legislative district. Trump recently campaign for Blackburn during a Nashville rally. However, Tennessee Star Political Editor Steve Gill points out that Bredesen is getting about the same vote percentage among Republicans in the district that “disapprove” of Trump, 25%.

“The same anti-Trumpers who don’t like the President are not likely to support a candidate like Marsha who backs the President and who he has endorsed,” Gill says. “But lets remember that Trump won the general election race in Tennessee by about 30 points, so a lot of conservative democrats and independents in Tennessee have supported and still support President Trump. Blackburn needs to make it clear that Bredesen doesn’t and won’t support Trump on securing our border, cutting taxes, ending catch and release of illegal aliens, or confirming conservative Judges and Justices. The sooner she does that the better her numbers will look.”

Note: The Star has a second post on the poll, covering issues of concern to those surveyed (illegal immigration and rising crime top the list), and a copy of the question-by-question results HERE.

11 Responses to Poll finds Bredesen with 30 percent support among likely GOP voters in Blackburn’s home area

  • James White says:

    As Stuart should say: Anybody but Blackburn.

    • Stuart I. Anderson says:

      In the gubernatorial race there’s not a dimes worth of difference between Black and Harwell and hopefully Lee (if the electorate wants to speculate) so one can be comfortable following the ANYBODY BUT BOYD strategy. In the Senate race there are significant ideological differences as well as differences in consequences regarding control of the U. S. Senate between a vote for Blackburn vs. Bredesen. There are few reasonably well informed voters who can be indifferent to these differences, but as James shows us, not none.

  • Stuart I. Anderson says:

    We are talking about an October/November decision in June when people aren’t real certain as to who they will vote for in July/August as yet and Marsha wisely hasn’t begun seriously advertising. When Marsha asks Tennesseans whether they really want to vote to give Chuck Schumer and his band of far left open borders enthusiasts control of the Senate, I expect her support will firm up by much more than enough to become our next U. S. Senator by a comfortable margin.

    • Silence Dogood says:

      Amen. Slow political news day demands “make-news” polls, even from the Tennessee Star. I would rather hear what Tom H. believes the impact of the Supreme Court decision on public sector unions will be in Tennessee. And the Tennessee Star is right wing? They sound just right to me…..

      • Tom Humphrey
        Tom Humphrey says:

        There will be no real impact from today’s Supreme Court decision in Tennessee, since state law in our “right to work” state already forbids unions from charging fees to non-members. There will be a big impact in the 20 or so states that authorize the practice.

  • Susan says:

    Any polling sort of “GOP Voters” in the 61st is a sample of generic voters because of the tremendous amount of cross over voting by Democrats. There are never competitive races in D primaries and rarely even an unopposed candidates—there is no reason for a Democrat to ever vote anywhere but in the R primaries. This is in the same district where In the May county primary a candidate for county commission on the Democrats ballot opted to not vote for herself but to cross over and vote in the Republican primary. (Apparently the State believes you can be a “bona fide” member of both parties at the same time.)

    I would hesitate to conclude this is good news for Bredesen as it is more likely to be representative of his numbers in the general.

  • Stuart I. Anderson says:

    AND OF COURSE with today’s retirement of Justice Kennedy and given the decrepit shape of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, do centrist/tepid conservatives who may be tempted to vote for Bredesen really want to give the Democrats another seat in the Senate when the next Supreme Court vacancy occurs? Surely a majority of our tepidly conservative Republicans can’t be that tepid.

    • James White says:

      Well Stuart, some ‘conservative’ Republican presidents put some on the bench that turned out to be anti-conservative. Think about that.

      • Stuart I. Anderson says:

        Unfortunately, you are correct but liberal Presidents invariably put hideous specimen on the Supreme Court so with Trump choosing from a list vetted by the Federalist Society and a cooperative Republican controlled U. S. Senate filled with Marsha Blackburn and reasonable facsimiles thereof we just might catch a break.

  • Eddie White says:

    Interesting logic( and faulty), you would rather help elect a liberal Democrat who will end up supporting a liberal pick to the Supreme Court in lieu of a conservative Republican who “might” pick a moderate court justice. Hard to reason with that logic.

  • Tommy Ray McAnally says:

    I WILL SAY IT ONCE again MARSHA BLACKBURN COULD NOT BEAT A BASS DRUM with direction on the drum.

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