New Vanderbilt poll has Bredesen up by 1 point

Democratic Senate candidate Phil Bredesen speaks to the Nashville Rotary on Aug. 20, 2018. (Erik Schelzig, Tennessee Journal)

A new Senate poll conducted for Vanderbilt University shows Democrat Phil Bredesen edging Republican Marsha Blackburn among registered voters 44% to 43%.

The poll was conducted by SSRS, which receives an A-minus rating from polling site FiveThirtyEight.com. The same company conducted a poll for CNN from Sept. 11 through Sept. 15 that found Bredesen with a 50% to 42% advantage among registered voters, and a 50% to 45% lead among likely voters.

The Vanderbilt poll of 800 registered voters was conducted between Oct. 8 and Oct. 13, and 83% said they “definitely will vote.” It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

The survey found Republican gubernatorial candidate Bill Lee with a 48% to 37% lead over Democrat Karl Dean among registered voters, with 12% undecided. The September CNN poll found Lee with a 49% to 43% lead among registered voters (and 52%-43% advantage among likely voters).

President Donald Trump’s approval rating was 55%, while 42% disapproved.

17 Responses to New Vanderbilt poll has Bredesen up by 1 point

  • Stuart I. Anderson says:

    An electorate that gives Trump an approval rating of 55% and gave him an overwhelming electoral victory apparently has any number of people who are ready to vote to give him a hostile Senate after he begged them not to do so. These same people will probably be the first to complain as to why the government simply can’t get anything done.

    Is it our miserable education system, corruption of wealth, drugs, booze, lack of religious conviction. . .?

    • MarLE says:

      Kind of shows you what a poor candidate she must if she can’t capitalize on the Trump approval levels, doesn’t it? And if she had an energetic, top-of-his-game opponent it would be even worse. Bredesen appears to be a tired, unenthusiastic, barely-there candidate wounded by the Kavanaugh and Project Veritas ordeals and Yet…………………………….she will win because she is not a Democrat.

      • Stuart I. Anderson says:

        I would think questions about the quality of a candidate should be considerations for the primary. After the candidate is chosen in the primary it then becomes a question of political convictions for the general election. Are you a conservative or otherwise on the right, or are you a liberal or otherwise on the left? Of course, that assumes the voter pays enough attention to have coherent consistent political convictions. Apparently that’s asking too much of too many people who insist on voting.

        • MarLE says:

          We should have had a much larger field of primary candidates for this seat. If we had, as was the case in the gubernatorial race (where your candidate failed) we might be sitting in a comfortable lead at this point. Perhaps these 2 races should recommend to the Party the benefit of getting things resolved during a real primary instead of making the primary a defacto coronation.

          • Stuart I. Anderson says:

            I don’t think it’s up to the party. Rather it’s a calculation that individuals make as to their chances of success. I know we’ll never agree on this one, but as far as I’m concerned Marsha is a strong candidate, that accounts for the lack of opposition she had in the primary.

            I thinks this race is close because there are simply too many people who don’t pay attention and/or don’t know enough about how governments work who are taken in by Bredesen’s avuncular looks (“how could a nice old man like that be a Schumer liberal?”) and his relatively moderate governorship thanks to the conservatives in the General Assembly. The Democrats calculated correctly when they quickly determined that Governor “Moderate” would be the only Democrat in this state who could make a race of it. I agree that Marsha ultimately wins, but it is simply disheartening to see that you can fool so many people so often.

          • MarLE says:

            Running a statewide race takes money and Party support, or suggested withholding of it, certainly matters. You are beyond naive if you don’t know this.

          • Stuart I. Anderson says:

            “. . .[M]oney and Party support. . .” are some of the indices of what it takes to make a strong candidate. Marsha had it and obviously nobody else did that’s why she had no problem winning the Republican Primary. As I maintain, she is a very strong candidate. Now that we are apparently about to have another micro-invasion from Central America, with the right advertising she should be stronger still.

          • MarLE says:

            Struat….Glad you brought up our new crop of “migrants”……Our new invasion of “asylum seekers” will be as a result of doing nothing significant in the last 2 years to de-magnetize the US as a destination. All this endless talk about a wall will do nothing to stop asylum seekers. They will simply park themselves on the other side of the wall while the world watches our response. And deporting “criminal illegal immigrants” with no comment on what you will do with the 19Million who are Not criminals does not dissuade visa jumpers (half of all here illegally have not crossed the southern border; they have jumped visas). Trump and his Congress have done nothing significant or of real consequence on illegal immigration. And where is the Court case on birthright citizenship. They should be filing that right now that we have a new court makeup

          • Stuart I. Anderson says:

            There is no question that nothing is done on this because of Democrats who look upon this invasion as part of the basic transformation of society and the eventual votes to bring this about. The Democrats are virtually unanimous in this obstruction together with the middle-of-the road and some tepid conservative Republicans, who represent the Chamber of Commerce and Business Round Table are successful in blocking Trump and the conservative Republican’s desire to do something about this. No doubt about it, Trump could do more on this as well as other matters. All too often his mouth is bigger than his willingness to act but it’s the unholy alliance between the Democrats and the C of C Republicans that is to blame.

          • MarLE says:

            And you don’t think having Senate candidates like Marsha running ads saying she will deport those with criminal records is also adding to our problem,, Stuart? The 19 million will be left here, I suppose, to produce birthright offspring. No wonder there is a rush to our borders when this is the best a Republican Senator is promising.

  • James White says:

    Trump is slipping in my view. He is alot like Reagan. Big talk, Little action.

  • Eddie White says:

    President Trump has given me a raise in my paycheck this year(tax cut which Bredesen opposed), and a reduction in government regulations in my job. I’ll take that action all day!

    • MarLE says:

      We have bills to pay. Your “raise” from tax cuts means that we are paying our bills, not from revenue coming in, but from putting it on the credit card raising the national debt by nearly another Trillion. You’ll take that action all day but a lot of people find that irresponsible.

  • Eddie White says:

    It could mean my raise will allow for more discretionary income for me to spend, which will help the economy, and maybe bring in additional tax revenue. If we find some cuts in spending that Trump’s administration is after, with additional tax revenue, we might be able to lower the deficit. Of course the alternative is to raise taxes and pretend we are cutting spending, and end up with greater spending and higher deficits. That seems the way it works most of the time. So I’ll take my raise.

  • MarLE says:

    COULD mean……”could” is the operative word. Time will tell. Too early to celebrate your good fortune til you find out for sure what the consequences are for the country.

  • Silence Dogood says:

    Way too much discussion about a bogus poll. These lonely times between the end of campaigning and the voting begins can be hard to fill. Anyone here care to bet Bredesen wins? Not money, but, lets say something relevant to this forum, like….. Type MAGA 30 times and swear DT is the greatest President EVER in a forum comment if you lose? Something like that perhaps.

  • Misty Pardner says:

    Slanderbilt Poll. Yeah, sounds legit.

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