Bredesen up 5 points in CNN poll

Democratic Senate candidate Phil Bredesen speaks to reporters after at a Farm Bureau speech in Franklin on Aug. 9, 2018. (Erik Schelzig, Tennessee Journal)

A new CNN poll has Democrat Phil Bredesen leading Republican Marsha Blackburn by 5 percentage points.

The poll shows Tennessee voters evenly split on President Donald Trump, with 49% of likely voters approving of his job performance and 48% disapproving. Ninety-two percent of those who disapprove of Trump said they back Bredesen in the Senate race.

The poll found Bredesen was viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 24%. Blackburn’s favorability was 41%, while 39% saw her unfavorably. Among Republicans, 28% have a favorable view of Bredesen, while just 9% of Democrats view Blackburn favorably.

The poll finds Republican Bill Lee leading Democrat Karl Dean by 9 percentage points — a smaller margin than the 13-points found by a recent NBC/Marist poll and the 20 points in last week’s Fox poll.

The top issues identified by those surveyed in the Tennessee poll are:

  • Health care: 27%.
  • Economy: 22%.
  • Immigration: 18%
  • National Security: 10%.
  • Gun policy: 9%.

The poll 723 likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. The sample includes 33% Republicans, 26% Democrats, and 42% independents.

Polling website FiveThirtyEight gives CNN pollster SSRS an A-minus rating.

 

18 Responses to Bredesen up 5 points in CNN poll

  • Stuart I. Anderson says:

    This poll obviously interviewed too many Democrats with its having Bredesen suddenly ahead outside the margin of error and Lee ahead by only 9% compared to recent polls that had Marsha ahead within the margin of error and Lee ahead by double digits. No matter, Bredesen’s Operation Distraction is obviously having some effect among the easily distracted and apathetic.

  • James White says:

    The sample includes 33% Republicans, 26% Democrats, and 42% independents.

    • Stuart I. Anderson says:

      What the heck is an “independent” who allegedly makes up 42% of the Tennessee electorate? To me an “Independent” is someone who votes 40% – 60% for one party or the other election after election. Do you know anyone who does that? I sure as heck don’t. In Tennessee self-identified Independents are usually liberals who avail themselves of our hideous open primary rules and the moribund state of the Tennessee Democratic party to vote for the most liberal Republican in the Republican primary then vote Democratic in the general election. That type of individual actually makes up about 15% of the electorate and naturally favors Bredesen or any other Democrat so if your polling sample contains 42% of such specimen you’re over-polling what amounts to liberal Democrats.

  • MarLE says:

    If the poll was conducted using Likely Voters as was suggested in the article then what are you talking about? Likely voters are the gold standard in polling. In TN “Likely” poll respondents are probably slightly skewed Rep, not Dem. And they are not “apathetic” (compared to john Q citizen) in that they are 1) are Registered and 2) have voted in prior elections.

  • Silence Dogood says:

    CNN? Lol!!!!!! Seriously? ZERO credibility.

    • MarLE says:

      You and Trump have nothing to worry about ….everyone knows CNN is Fake News! I can’t imagine why anyone is upset about a poll from a Fake News outlet. Marsha is probably up by 5!

  • Donna Locke says:

    What these polls keep saying is that no candidate can win without Independents. This has been true for a long time. We need another political party, one of of law-and-order, fiscal conservatives and limited-government “liberals” on some social issues. One that considers the good of the many and does not cater to the profits of a few. That means yes to sane regulations on business and trade, and yes to environmental protections.

  • MarLE says:

    Even in the last Davidson County/Nashville Mayoral race the two top candidates were backed by either Dem machinery and money or Rep machinery and money EVEN though the Mayoral race was a Non-Partisan contest. Until you get money and machinery out there will always be a 2-party system. One of these charlatans will win. Neither is telling the truth about who they are but one of them will win nonetheless.

    • Stuart I. Anderson says:

      In a country of about 325,000,000 people I think it’s absurd to even think of “get[ting] the money and machinery out” because publicizing and getting out the vote regarding a candidate among that many people requires both money and machinery. Word of mouth doesn’t work so well.

      All is not lost however, all you have to do is vote for the candidate who has a record of actually behaving in a way that attests to his political bona-fides and refuse to vote for No Record Candidates. As a conservative I want to see a past record of conservative governance if a former/current officeholder and/or significant contributions to conservative candidates and causes, and/or conservative advocacy. If none, I’m simply not interested.

      • MarLE says:

        Did I say it was possible, Stuart? Did I say that? No….actually I said until that were to happen (which is never) then there will be a 2-party system. I never suggested that was possible. To wit: I mentioned the Mayoral race which is non-party designated and, yet, as I said the money and machinery was there.

      • MarLE says:

        There is no candidate that has been behaving (talking, yes; behaving, no) in a way that attests to any bona-fides. A conservative is not what Marsha is or the way she behaves. It is however what she says she is.

        • Stuart I. Anderson says:

          Everything is relative MarLE and unless you want to be like James and vote for asterisk candidates you have to deal with reality and the reality in the House is that the average Republican has a Heritage score of 65%. I would say that Marsha with her 82% is relatively “conservative” and without doubt more conservative than Bredesen. That’s all that one needs to know to make a knowledgeable choice in this Senate race.

          Marsha is 66 years-old and Mark Green has potential of being a super-star ready to replace her. Mark should be more conservative than Marsha and Marsha will be more conservative than Corker. This should be Roe’s last term and there are great candidates just waiting to take his place. The Republican Party of Tennessee is moving in the right direction, it’s taking too long, but there is movement.

          • MarLE says:

            Stuart, you mentioned bona fided and applied that to Marsha. Bona fides has a dictionary meaning and the personification of it is Marsha. Whether she is better than a Dem or she simply Isn’t a Dem she is not exhibiting anything like genuine Conservative (which she says she is, let’s remember) behavior.

          • MarLE says:

            So….the opposite of bona fides as a conservative is Marsha’s behavior. Lord knows I didn’t mean that she is the personification of the word!!!!

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  • thanks to the author for taking his clock time on this one.

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